Senators @ Red Wings

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Senators 3 - Red Wings 5
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Ottawa
Senators
2-0 Rating 1522
Form: LLLWW
3 – 5
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Detroit Red Wings +0.1
Detroit
Red Wings
0-2 Rating 1482
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Red Wings
All-time wins 34 38
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.8 2.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Red Wings
Games played 2 2
Avg goals scored 3.5 1.0
Avg goals conceded 1.5 2.5
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%