Final Score: Avalanche 5 - Stars 4
Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Avalanche @ Stars
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Avalanche | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 101 | 92 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Avalanche | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 60 | 61 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 68% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 63% | 64% |
Recent Results
Avalanche
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Kings
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Minnesota Wild
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Utah Mammoth
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Jose Sharks
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Stars
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs St. Louis Blues
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2