Final Score: Stars 6 - Flames 1
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET
Stars @ Flames
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Stars | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 98 | 107 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Stars | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 60 | 59 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 52% |
Recent Results
Stars
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs St. Louis Blues
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
Flames
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4