Final Score: Lightning 1 - Capitals 7
Sunday, March 18, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
39-33 Rating 1523
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Capitals
25-47 Rating 1404
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Capitals
All-time wins 29 43
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.5 3.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Capitals
Games played 72 72
Avg goals scored 3.1 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.6
Win percentage 54% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 41%