Final Score: Lightning 5 - Capitals 4
Thursday, March 1, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
36-29 Rating 1528
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Capitals
24-40 Rating 1419
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Capitals
All-time wins 28 43
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.5 3.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Capitals
Games played 65 64
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.0
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.5
Win percentage 55% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 42%