Final Score: Penguins 1 - Lightning 5
Sunday, February 25, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
33-27 Rating 1476
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9
Lightning
35-28 Rating 1529
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 24 24
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average goals 3.1 3.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 60 63
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 55%