| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | 24–17 | Dolphins +7 | Patriots +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 10–30 | Cowboys +20 | Cowboys +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 35–33 | Commanders +2 | Commanders +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 31–28 | Giants +3 | Cardinals +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 30–23 | 49ers +7 | 49ers +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 24–25 | Falcons +1 | Packers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 27–24 | Ravens +3 | Bengals +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 10–38 | Bills +28 | Bills +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 17–27 | Buccaneers +10 | Buccaneers +9.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 37–31 | Seahawks +6 | Lions +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 31–20 | Colts +11 | Texans +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 17–9 | Chiefs +8 | Chiefs +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2023 | 24–27 | Titans +3 | Titans +2.4 | Regular Season |