| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 16–13 | Steelers +3 | Ravens +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 17–41 | Packers +24 | Packers +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 10–31 | Chargers +21 | Chargers +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 37–34 | 49ers +3 | 49ers +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 6–23 | Seahawks +17 | Seahawks +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 19–20 | Falcons +1 | Falcons +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 24–30 | Buccaneers +6 | Buccaneers +7.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 10–41 | Lions +31 | Lions +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 24–10 | Browns +14 | Commanders +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 24–27 | Chiefs +3 | Chiefs +16.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 31–3 | Jaguars +28 | Jaguars +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 10–38 | Giants +28 | Giants +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 21–23 | Patriots +2 | Patriots +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 20–10 | Saints +10 | Eagles +8.1 | Regular Season |