| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2011 | 10–39 | Bears +29 | Bears +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 16–20 | Patriots +4 | Patriots +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 20–26 | Buccaneers +6 | Saints +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 14–29 | Ravens +15 | Ravens +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 17–24 | Raiders +7 | Raiders +7.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 20–13 | Eagles +7 | Commanders +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 25–19 | 49ers +6 | Lions +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 17–31 | Falcons +14 | Falcons +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 24–27 | Giants +3 | Giants +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 17–27 | Bengals +10 | Bengals +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3–24 | Packers +21 | Packers +15.8 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 13–17 | Steelers +4 | Steelers +11.1 | Regular Season |