| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2011 | 31–35 | Falcons +4 | Falcons +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 22–24 | Broncos +2 | Bengals +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 23–13 | Texans +10 | Dolphins +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 21–35 | Patriots +14 | Patriots +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 27–24 | Cowboys +3 | 49ers +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 24–20 | Buccaneers +4 | Vikings +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 21–22 | Commanders +1 | Commanders +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 35–38 | Bills +3 | Bills +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 13–26 | Titans +13 | Ravens +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 30–23 | Packers +7 | Packers +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 13–30 | Saints +17 | Saints +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 27–19 | Browns +8 | Colts +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 3–48 | Lions +45 | Lions +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 3–32 | Jets +29 | Jets +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2011 | 0–24 | Steelers +24 | Steelers +10.5 | Regular Season |