| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2011 | 24–27 | Jets +3 | Jets +6.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 14–28 | Commanders +14 | Giants +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 17–33 | 49ers +16 | 49ers +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 17–24 | Chargers +7 | Chargers +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 21–28 | Cardinals +7 | Cardinals +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 12–30 | Bears +18 | Bears +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 41–7 | Bills +34 | Chiefs +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 27–17 | Bengals +10 | Browns +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 27–20 | Lions +7 | Buccaneers +7.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 7–35 | Ravens +28 | Ravens +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 7–34 | Texans +27 | Colts +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 14–16 | Jaguars +2 | Jaguars +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2011 | 31–13 | Eagles +18 | Eagles +4.1 | Regular Season |