| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2009 | 7–26 | Panthers +19 | Vikings +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 13–27 | Eagles +14 | Eagles +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 24–7 | Buccaneers +17 | Seahawks +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 7–31 | Ravens +24 | Ravens +9.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 36–37 | Steelers +1 | Steelers +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 24–27 | Chargers +3 | Chargers +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 20–19 | Raiders +1 | Broncos +10.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 10–7 | Falcons +3 | Jets +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 31–24 | Cardinals +7 | Cardinals +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 17–10 | Patriots +7 | Patriots +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 24–27 | Titans +3 | Titans +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 41–34 | Browns +7 | Chiefs +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 20, 2009 | 16–13 | Texans +3 | Texans +7.4 | Regular Season |