| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2025 | 138–142 | Nuggets +4 | Nuggets +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 119–96 | Rockets +23 | Lakers +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 116–126 | Warriors +10 | Warriors +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 117–102 | Spurs +15 | Thunder +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 124–126 | Knicks +2 | Knicks +7.5 | Regular Season |