| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | 119–103 | Clippers +16 | Trail Blazers +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 129–131 | Jazz +2 | Pistons +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 104–125 | Grizzlies +21 | Grizzlies +6.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 115–108 | Suns +7 | Suns +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 102–109 | Bulls +7 | Bulls +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 126–111 | Heat +15 | Hawks +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 140–122 | Celtics +18 | Celtics +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 120–105 | Hornets +15 | Magic +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 117–138 | Wizards +21 | Raptors +4.4 | Regular Season |