| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2009 | 88–87 | Cavaliers +1 | Cavaliers +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 105–95 | Pistons +10 | Celtics +13.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 99–96 | Pelicans +3 | Pelicans +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 98–109 | Mavericks +11 | Mavericks +9.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 94–100 | Pacers +6 | Nuggets +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 112–104 | Jazz +8 | Jazz +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 105–94 | Rockets +11 | Rockets +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 111–118 | Suns +7 | Lakers +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 1, 2009 | 84–102 | Trail Blazers +18 | Trail Blazers +0.6 | Regular Season |