Heat @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Heat 0 - Thunder 0
Thursday, December 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Miami
Heat
3-6 Rating 1452
Form: WWLWL
@
Model Probability
11%
89%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5
Oklahoma City
Thunder
8-2 Rating 1835
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Thunder
All-time wins 35 46
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 98.2 102.2
Last meeting 122 120

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Thunder
Games played 9 10
Avg points scored 116.0 112.2
Avg points conceded 122.6 104.2
Win percentage 33% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 100%