Final Score: Thunder 136 - Suns 109
Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Suns

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
41-13 Rating 1823
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +0.7
Suns
32-22 Rating 1607
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Suns
All-time wins 119 125
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 106.7 106.4
Last meeting 105 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Suns
Games played 54 54
Avg points scored 119.9 113.7
Avg points conceded 108.0 111.4
Win percentage 76% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 73% 67%