Final Score: Thunder 106 - Spurs 116
Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Thunder @ Spurs
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Thunder | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 105 | 124 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 102.3 | 103.8 |
| Last meeting | 119 | 98 |
| Stat | Thunder | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 49 |
| Avg points scored | 120.5 | 116.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 107.7 | 111.9 |
| Win percentage | 78% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 74% |
Recent Results
Thunder
vs Orlando Magic
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +36 · Total: 220
128-92
@ Denver Nuggets
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 232
121-111
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 234
111-123
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 199
104-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 204
101-103
vs Indiana Pacers
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 231
114-117
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 224
122-102
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +32 · Total: 240
136-104
@ Miami Heat
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 242
120-122
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 202
111-91
Spurs
vs Orlando Magic
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 215
112-103
@ Charlotte Hornets
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 217
106-111
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 210
111-99
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 199
95-104
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 235
126-109
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 217
106-111
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 233
123-110
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 249
126-123
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +18 · Total: 220
119-101
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 217
98-119