Final Score: Thunder 121 - Nuggets 111
Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Thunder @ Nuggets

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
38-11 Rating 1836
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +0.8
Nuggets
33-16 Rating 1626
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Nuggets
All-time wins 123 108
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 109.1 107.3
Last meeting 125 93

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Nuggets
Games played 49 49
Avg points scored 120.3 120.1
Avg points conceded 108.0 115.6
Win percentage 78% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 74% 61%