Final Score: Nuggets 118 - Mavericks 109
Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Nuggets @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nuggets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 101 | 105 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 107.5 | 107.8 |
| Last meeting | 130 | 131 |
| Stat | Nuggets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 40 |
| Avg points scored | 122.7 | 113.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.5 | 116.8 |
| Win percentage | 68% | 38% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 70% | 52% |
Recent Results
Nuggets
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 238
122-116
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 212
108-104
vs Atlanta Hawks
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: -23 · Total: 197
87-110
@ Boston Celtics
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 224
114-110
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 249
125-124
@ Brooklyn Nets
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 221
108-113
@ Toronto Raptors
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 209
106-103
@ Miami Heat
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 270
123-147
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 253
126-127
Mavericks
vs Brooklyn Nets
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 218
113-105
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 232
107-125
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 230
114-116
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 198
100-98
vs Houston Rockets
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 214
110-104
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 231
108-123
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 247
122-125
@ Sacramento Kings
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 220
107-113
@ Golden State Warriors
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 242
116-126
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 261
131-130