Pirates @ Brewers
Pirates
Model Probability
Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers +1.1
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 4–3 | Pirates +1 | Brewers +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 2–10 | Reds +8 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 4–1 | Pirates +3 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 7–8 | Reds +1 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2–3 | Reds +1 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates Cardinals | 437-511-7 | 46.1% | -9.5 | 913 |
| Pirates Cubs | 484-464-4 | 51.1% | +10.0 | 907 |
| Pirates Reds | 396-439 | 47.4% | -4.6 | 801 |
| Pirates Nationals | 348-322 | 51.9% | +5.3 | 636 |
| Pirates Mets | 320-340-5 | 48.5% | -10.9 | 624 |