Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Pirates 1
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Cardinals @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 512 | 440 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 157 | 157 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 54% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
Pirates
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12