Astros @ Mariners
Astros
Model Probability
Mariners
Seattle Mariners +0.1
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 4–2 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 6–3 | Braves +3 | Braves +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 6–2 | Braves +4 | Braves +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 2–6 | Astros +4 | Astros +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 5–2 | Royals +3 | Astros +0.7 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros Reds | 354-379-1 | 48.3% | -4.2 | 717 |
| Astros Dodgers | 290-330 | 46.8% | -3.9 | 615 |
| Astros Cardinals | 291-319-1 | 47.7% | -6.2 | 602 |
| Astros Braves | 295-326 | 47.5% | -18.7 | 599 |
| Astros Padres | 323-299 | 51.9% | -10.3 | 598 |