| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2023 | 5–11 | Red Sox +6 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 6–3 | Braves +3 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 5–3 | Mariners +2 | Mariners +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 6–9 | Rockies +3 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 13–10 | Orioles +3 | Orioles +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 7–3 | Twins +4 | White Sox +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 11–7 | Angels +4 | Cardinals +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 0–2 | Tigers +2 | Mets +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 2–3 | Rays +1 | Rays +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2023 | 3–4 | Nationals +1 | Cubs +0.4 | Regular Season |