Final Score: Cubs 3 - Nationals 4
Thursday, May 4, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
15-15 Rating 1479
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Nationals
12-18 Rating 1419
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 309 331
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 30 30
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.6
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 29%