| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2012 | 6–0 | Tigers +6 | Athletics +0.3 | Division | |
| Oct 11, 2012 | 2–1 | Orioles +1 | Yankees +0.8 | Division | |
| Oct 11, 2012 | 1–2 | Nationals +1 | Nationals +0.2 | Division | |
| Oct 11, 2012 | 6–4 | Giants +2 | Reds +0.1 | Division |