| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2004 | 10–8 | Yankees +2 | Athletics +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 4–11 | Angels +7 | Angels +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 3–4 | Mariners +1 | Mariners +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 6–3 | Diamondbacks +3 | Cubs +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 3–4 | Astros +1 | Astros +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 5–4 | Rays +1 | Rangers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 2–4 | Braves +2 | Braves +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 6–2 | Brewers +4 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 2–6 | Mets +4 | Giants +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 3–10 | Orioles +7 | White Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 6–7 | Guardians +1 | Red Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 4–10 | Nationals +6 | Nationals +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 4–5 | Blue Jays +1 | Blue Jays +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 4–3 | Dodgers +1 | Marlins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2004 | 6–5 | Cardinals +1 | Phillies +0.1 | Regular Season |