| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2004 | 4–5 | Dodgers +1 | Dodgers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 1–3 | Padres +2 | Padres +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 11–7 | Braves +4 | Braves +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 4–2 | Cubs +2 | Cardinals +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 1–0 | Angels +1 | Twins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 6–4 | Diamondbacks +2 | Phillies +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 4–10 | Astros +6 | Astros +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 8–7 | Pirates +1 | Brewers +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 6–5 | Athletics +1 | Athletics +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 5–8 | Rangers +3 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 3–4 | Rangers +1 | Red Sox +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 10–6 | Blue Jays +4 | White Sox +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 3–4 | White Sox +1 | White Sox +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 3–6 | Giants +3 | Giants +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 2–3 | Rockies +1 | Braves +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 2–3 | Guardians +1 | Guardians +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 2–4 | Tigers +2 | Mariners +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 1, 2004 | 4–12 | Yankees +8 | Yankees +1.4 | Regular Season |