Final Score: Mariners 3 - Blue Jays 1
Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:03 PM ET
Mariners @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 211 | 228 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 9 |
| Stat | Mariners | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 167 | 166 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 67% |
Recent Results
Mariners
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
Blue Jays
@ New York Yankees
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Yankees
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs New York Yankees
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
vs New York Yankees
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4