Final Score: Mariners 4 - Astros 0
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
84-69 Rating 1532
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
84-69 Rating 1537
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Astros
All-time wins 94 135
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.7
Last meeting 3 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Astros
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 55% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 59%