Final Score: Mariners 12 - Royals 5
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET
Mariners @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 239 | 244 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Mariners | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 150 | 150 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 53% |
Recent Results
Mariners
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 20
18-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Royals
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1