Final Score: Nationals 2 - Astros 1
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 215 | 252 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 0 |
| Stat | Nationals | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 105 | 106 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.3 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 59% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
Astros
vs Athletics
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Athletics
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Athletics
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 18
3-15
vs Athletics
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6