Final Score: Phillies 4 - Mets 5
Monday, April 21, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-9 Rating 1545
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Mets
15-7 Rating 1541
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 471 487
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 22 22
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 2.8
Win percentage 59% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 90%