Final Score: Marlins 10 - Phillies 11
Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 1:05 PM ET
Marlins @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 242 | 289 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 19 | 20 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 73% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ New York Mets
Apr 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ New York Mets
Apr 8, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ New York Mets
Apr 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Phillies
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 16, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 14, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 10, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3