Final Score: Marlins 7 - Phillies 5
Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
8-12 Rating 1450
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
13-8 Rating 1547
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 242 290
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 10 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 20 21
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.5
Win percentage 40% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 75%