Final Score: Phillies 3 - Mets 4
Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
89-70 Rating 1540
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Mets
73-86 Rating 1497
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 462 476
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 56% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%