Final Score: Mets 4 - Phillies 5
Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
71-82 Rating 1500
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
84-69 Rating 1535
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 476 459
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 46% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 59%