Final Score: Pirates 3 - Phillies 2
Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
Pirates @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 331 | 315 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 158 | 158 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 61% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 27, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 26, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 23, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 25
13-12
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 22, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 21, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 20, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 19, 2023 · Margin: -13 · Total: 15
1-14
vs New York Yankees
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 16, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
Phillies
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 27, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 26, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Mets
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Mets
Sep 23, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs New York Mets
Sep 22, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Mets
Sep 21, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 20, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 19, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 18, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6