Final Score: Nationals 3 - Cubs 4
Thursday, August 11, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Nationals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
56-60 Rating 1454
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
50-67 Rating 1464
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cubs
All-time wins 292 271
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cubs
Games played 116 117
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.9
Win percentage 48% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 46%