Final Score: Reds 3 - Cubs 4
Friday, August 5, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
54-57 Rating 1492
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Cubs
47-65 Rating 1463
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 290 260
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 111 112
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 49% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 45%