Final Score: Reds 3 - Astros 4
Monday, August 1, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
53-55 Rating 1495
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Astros
35-73 Rating 1423
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 350 341
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 108 108
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 49% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 32%