Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 2
Friday, August 12, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
56-61 Rating 1452
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
77-40 Rating 1591
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 336 383
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 117 117
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.3
Win percentage 48% 66%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 69%