Final Score: Pirates 3 - Phillies 10
Friday, July 29, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
54-49 Rating 1445
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
65-39 Rating 1574
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 294 275
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 103 104
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.3
Win percentage 52% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 68%