Final Score: Pirates 5 - Braves 2
Thursday, July 28, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
53-49 Rating 1443
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.2
Braves
61-44 Rating 1535
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Braves
All-time wins 215 230
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Braves
Games played 102 105
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.6
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 62%