Final Score: Pirates 3 - Braves 1
Monday, July 25, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
52-47 Rating 1443
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.2
Braves
59-43 Rating 1535
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Braves
All-time wins 214 228
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Braves
Games played 99 102
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.6
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 61%