Final Score: Phillies 1 - Cardinals 3
Monday, May 16, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
25-14 Rating 1569
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Cardinals
22-19 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 276 294
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 39 41
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.3
Win percentage 64% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 53%