Final Score: Phillies 3 - Braves 5
Saturday, May 14, 2011 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
25-12 Rating 1573
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Braves
21-19 Rating 1517
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 277 302
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 37 40
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.3 3.3
Win percentage 68% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 50%