Final Score: Astros 3 - Pirates 2
Friday, May 6, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
12-19 Rating 1469
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Pirates
15-16 Rating 1414
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 285 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.3
Win percentage 39% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 33%