Final Score: Pirates 4 - Padres 3
Monday, May 2, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
13-15 Rating 1410
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.1
Padres
11-17 Rating 1491
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 235 196
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 28 28
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.4
Win percentage 46% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 27%