Final Score: Pirates 5 - Padres 6
Tuesday, May 3, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
14-15 Rating 1412
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.0
Padres
11-18 Rating 1488
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 236 196
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 29 29
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.4
Win percentage 48% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 25%